Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.134089 0.152297 0.172414 0.196347 0.224119 0.255419 0.293491
2026-02-08 0.103455 0.127333 0.156233 0.194039 0.242564 0.303252 0.385678
2026-02-15 0.085569 0.111428 0.144815 0.191596 0.256275 0.343760 0.473125
2026-02-22 0.075678 0.103125 0.140468 0.195836 0.277297 0.395068 0.582530
2026-03-01 0.066246 0.093660 0.132589 0.193072 0.286814 0.430225 0.673487
2026-03-08 0.059606 0.087058 0.127550 0.193156 0.299756 0.471525 0.780673
2026-03-15 0.054169 0.081440 0.123054 0.193080 0.311867 0.512659 0.894612
2026-03-22 0.050569 0.078132 0.121571 0.197364 0.331397 0.568795 1.045801
2026-03-29 0.047194 0.074752 0.119477 0.200162 0.348466 0.622911 1.203802
2026-04-05 0.044188 0.071618 0.117367 0.202517 0.364836 0.678027 1.375027
2026-04-12 0.041895 0.069417 0.116547 0.206966 0.385597 0.744790 1.585297
2026-04-19 0.039218 0.066273 0.113706 0.207229 0.398075 0.796604 1.773490
2026-04-26 0.036640 0.063112 0.110606 0.206791 0.409467 0.848956 1.977910
2026-05-03 0.034092 0.059781 0.106868 0.204668 0.417095 0.894601 2.177920
2026-05-10 0.031762 0.056634 0.103155 0.202114 0.423360 0.938163 2.383706
2026-05-17 0.030483 0.055341 0.102867 0.206624 0.446062 1.024857 2.731607
2026-05-24 0.028508 0.052536 0.099316 0.203687 0.451042 1.068617 2.967679
2026-05-31 0.027026 0.050567 0.097258 0.203776 0.463255 1.133233 3.286115
2026-06-07 0.025654 0.048702 0.095236 0.203695 0.475029 1.198964 3.628339
2026-06-14 0.024811 0.047839 0.095224 0.208249 0.499272 1.304019 4.136890
2026-06-21 0.023889 0.046732 0.094582 0.211223 0.519868 1.402980 4.658510
2026-06-28 0.022991 0.045603 0.093786 0.213725 0.539615 1.503693 5.223397
2026-07-05 0.022321 0.044906 0.093882 0.218455 0.566352 1.632011 5.946218